Facts · Facts & sources
4 sourced facts about the history and track record of opinion polling, each with the context behind the number. 4 more are in today's round and appear here after it closes.
Answerthe BJP fell short of a majority on its own
It was one of the biggest exit-poll misses in recent Indian election history.
Source: Wikipedia: Exit poll (2024) en.wikipedia.org
Answer1948 and 1976
That gives Gallup a strong overall track record across more than 70 years of presidential elections.
Source: Wikipedia: Gallup (company) (2008) en.wikipedia.org
Answer53%
Like the UK's 2005 exit poll, this was seen as a near-perfect forecast of the final result.
Source: Wikipedia: Exit poll (2007) en.wikipedia.org
Answer$36 million
Pew is a nonprofit, so its 'revenue' mostly comes from foundation grants and endowment support rather than commercial polling contracts.
Source: Wikipedia: Pew Research Center (2021) en.wikipedia.org